000 ABNT20 KNHC 111528 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED TO UPDATE DISCUSSION OF LOW OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST NEAR THE BORDER OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED THIS MORNING. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS EN ROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TO DETERMINE IF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS FORMED. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMS...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS WOULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF HONDURAS...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN