000
ABNT20 KNHC 112331
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED AUG 11 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE...WHICH HAS DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT LOW
PRESSURE AREA OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.  THIS LOW COULD
STILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN SQUALLS
TO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST TONIGHT AND EARLY
THURSDAY.  REFER TO STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.  THE LOW IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE INLAND ALONG THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST BY EARLY THURSDAY
AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING MINIMAL SHOWER ACTIVITY AT
THIS TIME.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND  
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE
NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST OVER THE ATLANTIC.

AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A
TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES.  SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT
EXPECTED AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN