000 ABNT20 KNHC 071735 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED ABOUT 300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER...NEAR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE LOW PRESSURE AREA. CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BEFORE THE SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR SOUTHERN TEXAS ON THURSDAY. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THE LOW IS FORECAST TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BROWN