000 ABNT20 KNHC 030543 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 100 AM EST TUE NOV 3 2009 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES VERY LITTLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BERG