000 ABNT20 KNHC 231733 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED BETWEEN THE NORTH COAST OF EASTERN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS. THIS LOW IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ACCOMPANIED BY DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE SYSTEM BECOMES ABSORBED BY A COLD FRONT IN A DAY OR TWO. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER AVILA