000 ABNT20 KNHC 230535 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE COAST OF NICARAGUA HAS DIMINISHED AND DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY IN THIS AREA. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. CLOUDINESS AND A FEW SHOWERS OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE ADJACENT SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER PASCH