000
ABNT20 KNHC 221738
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARLY-STATIONARY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF
THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA.  FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL
BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.     

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE
ADJACENT ATLANTIC OCEAN ARE PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS
OF A COLD FRONT. THIS ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...
LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL OR
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.     

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA