000 ABNT20 KNHC 212331 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2009 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND CENTRAL AMERICA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER COSTA RICA...NICARAGUA...AND HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE... LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER PASCH