000
ABNT20 KNHC 080532
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU OCT 8 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
RECENTLY-DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRI...LOCATED ABOUT 240
MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED
ABOUT 500 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS HAVE CHANGED
LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.  DEVELOPMENT...
IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 TO 20 MPH.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS
THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH