000
ABNT20 KNHC 051734
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON OCT 5 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GRACE...MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
ATLANTIC. 

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD 
ISLANDS IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS SYSTEM IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER
ORGANIZED...AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE BEFORE
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME LESS FAVORABLE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE
IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON GRACE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT34 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4.  FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON GRACE ARE
ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER
MIATCMAT4.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN