000
ABNT20 KNHC 170539
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE REMNANTS OF FRED....ACCOMPANIED BY DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...ARE LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.  THIS ACTIVITY IS MOVING GENERALLY
WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH AND HAS BEEN GRADUALLY DECREASING. SURFACE
PRESSURES ARE HIGH IN THE AREA AND THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS
NOT CONDUCIVE FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN
30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA