000 ABNT20 KNHC 132035 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 435 PM EDT SUN SEP 13 2009 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED FOR THE REMNANTS OF FRED. UPDATED...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FRED...WHICH IS LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE NORTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. WHILE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...REGENERATION INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE IF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN