000
ABNT20 KNHC 082332
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 8 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM FRED...LOCATED ABOUT 410 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. 

A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A MID- TO
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH
CAROLINA.  THIS LOW IS PRODUCING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
WELL TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF ITS CENTER...AND UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT
AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  THERE IS
A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  

THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS...AND
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS
SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES AND IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG