000 ABNT20 KNHC 081743 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT TUE SEP 8 2009 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON STRENGTHENING TROPICAL STORM FRED...LOCATED ABOUT 345 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA. THIS LOW IS PRODUCING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BUT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES AND IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE