000
ABNT20 KNHC 042330
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI SEP 4 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS ERIKA HAS DIMINISHED.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN HIGHLY UNFAVORABLE FOR
RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED
ABOUT 175 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY
LIMITED...THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WEST OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/KIMBERLAIN