000
ABNT20 KNHC 030549
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA LOCATED JUST WEST OF GUADELOUPE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. 

A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED NEAR THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA...A
FEW HUNDRED MILES TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS...IS ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. 
SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE FAR
EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH