000
ABNT20 KNHC 251744
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE AUG 25 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED ABOUT 
325 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.  THIS SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND UPPER-LEVEL 
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT 
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AROUND 20 MPH.  THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL
STORM DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.  INTERESTS
IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA THIS MORNING HAS MOVED INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA.  
THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN