000
ABNT20 KNHC 122330
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED AUG 12 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO...LOCATED ABOUT 710 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO PASS WELL TO THE SOUTH OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS WHILE MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH ON
THURSDAY. ALTHOUGH THE SHOWER ACTIVITY IS LIMITED AT THIS
TIME...CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE ADJACENT
ATLANTIC...ACCOMPANIED BY CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS...IS MOVING
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA