000
ABNT20 KNHC 101736
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE CONTINUED TO DIMINISH IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED JUST TO THE WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  HOWEVER...CONDITIONS
STILL APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...AND IT
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS
PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. 
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO
OCCUR AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND
GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN
30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG