000 ABNT20 KNHC 041733 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2009 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THIS WAVE MOVES TO WEST AT ABOUT 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH