000
ABNT20 KNHC 041409 CCA
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2009

CORRECTED TO ADD GENESIS PROBABILITY STATEMENT

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE.  ANY
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO
OCCUR AS THIS WAVE MOVES TO WEST AT ABOUT 15 MPH.  THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH