000
ABNT20 KNHC 230540
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU JUL 23 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE BAHAMAS
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH INTERACTING WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL LOW.  THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION AND
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD OR
NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA