000
ABNT20 KNHC 221746
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED JUL 22 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK
SURFACE TROUGH INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW.  THIS ACTIVITY
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD OR NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION
OF THIS SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN
30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN BAHAMAS ARE MERGING WITH THE ACTIVITY OFF THE
SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS
THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/ROBERTS