000
ABNT20 KNHC 220605
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED JUL 22 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING PRIMARILY OVER
HISPANIOLA AND THE ADJACENT WATERS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 20 TO 25 MPH. UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS AND THE INTERACTION WITH LAND DO NOT FAVOR DEVELOPMENT DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE BAHAMAS AND THE
ADJACENT ATLANTIC ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH. THERE
ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/AVILA