000
ABNT20 KNHC 212332
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER PUERTO RICO...
HISPANIOLA AND ADJACENT WATERS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE.
ALTHOUGH SHOWER ACTIVITY IS CONCENTRATED SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA...
THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A CIRCULATION AND SURFACE PRESSURES ARE NOT
FALLING. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND THE INTERACTION WITH LAND DO NOT
FAVOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE DAY OR SO. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO AND HISPANIOLA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS THE WAVE MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT NEAR 20 TO 25 MPH.  THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE BAHAMAS AND THE
ADJACENT ATLANTIC ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH. THERE
ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA