000
ABNT20 KNHC 200546
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON JUL 20 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED A
COUPLE HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAVE BECOME LESS
ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS COULD AFFECT THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE WAVE MOVES WESTWARD AT 15
TO 20 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH