000
ABNT20 KNHC 172332
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI JUL 17 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY
BETWEEN AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES HAS DECREASED THIS EVENING. 
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE
WAVE MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS
THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
WELL-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES EAST OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS.  HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE