000 ABNT20 KNHC 231143 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2009 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED...WITH A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN