000
ABNT20 KNHC 120603
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 1650 MILES EAST OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DIMINISHED THIS MORNING...AND UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS APPEAR TO BE A LITTLE LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT.
HOWEVER...THERE STILL IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE....IS
LOCATED ABOUT 240 MILES WEST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.  THE
ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED. 
SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE
SYSTEM DRIFTS NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH