000
ABNT20 KNHC 250545
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 225 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA-NORTH CAROLINA BORDER IS MOVING
SLOWLY WESTWARD. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE
BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING AND THIS SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP INTO A
SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER
OR NOT THIS SYSTEM BECOMES A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE...
STRONG WINDS...COASTAL FLOODING...HIGH SURF...AND DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. OUTER RAINBANDS ARE ALREADY SPREADING
ONSHORE THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND BUOY AND
SHIP REPORTS INDICATE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH ARE OCCURRING NORTH
AND WEST OF THE CENTER. INTERESTS ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM
THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO MID-ATLANTIC REGION SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR STATEMENTS FROM THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICES...AND ALSO HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN
PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON D.C. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
WARNINGS.

ANOTHER WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 140 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS IS MOVING NORTHWARD
AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. IN
ADDITION...THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND ASSOCIATED FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES OVER HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO... AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART