000
ABNT20 KNHC 241136
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER HISPANIOLA HAVE DECREASED SOMEWHAT THIS MORNING. 
THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT HAVE A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CIRCULATION...BUT
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION AS IT MOVES GENERALLY NORTHWARD...AND AWAY FROM
HISPANIOLA...TODAY AND TONIGHT.  THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES
OVER HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF
WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.  ALTHOUGH THIS LOW IS CURRENTLY
ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL ZONE...IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP
INTO A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST
COAST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  CONSULT STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG