000
ABNT20 KNHC 220555
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGERY...RADAR DATA...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
THAT THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION OF THE BROAD LOW
PRESSURE AREA LOCATED NEAR WESTERN PUERTO RICO.  HOWEVER...
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE
FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 
LATER TODAY AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT THIS SYSTEM
BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...IT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS INTO TUESDAY.  REPORTS FROM PUERTO RICO INDICATE THAT 10
TO 20 INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN ON PORTIONS OF THE
ISLAND...AND THESE RAINS HAVE ALREADY PRODUCED FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.  INTERESTS IN PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS...THE DOMINICAN REPBULIC...HAITI...THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AND PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THEIR RESPECTIVE
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN