000 ABNT20 KNHC 250551 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT MON AUG 25 2008 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA BETWEEN PUERTO RICO AND THE NETHERLAND ANTILLES. THE ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED...AND REPORTS FROM A NOAA BUOY INDICATE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TODAY...IF NECESSARY. DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN