000
ABNT20 KNHC 150552
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE HAS
CONTINUED TO MOVE WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH AND IS LOCATED OVER THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.  THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A
CONCENTRATED AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...BUT DOES NOT
YET APPEAR TO HAVE A WELL-DEFINED CENTER OF CIRCULATION AT THE
SURFACE.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...
HOWEVER...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AT ANY TIME DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES WESTWARD OR
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA.  REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA TODAY AND
TONIGHT...AND OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA...THE TURKS AND
CAICOS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON SATURDAY.  INTERESTS IN
THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE
THIS SYSTEM LATER TODAY...IF NECESSARY.

A BROAD AND ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A
TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES AND IS ACCOMPANIED BY DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS.  DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO
OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO
15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE.. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$ 
FORECASTER KNABB