000
ABNT20 KNHC 192331
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT JUL 19 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
BERTHA...LOCATED ABOUT 490 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE
NEWFOUNDLAND...AND ON TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL...LOCATED ABOUT 130
MILES EAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.

THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE STRONG TROPICAL WAVE
IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA FOUND THAT THE SYSTEM STILL DOES NOT
HAVE A CLOSED CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...THE WAVE CONTINUES TO BE
ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS AND IS PRODUCING
WINDS OF 40-45 MPH TO THE SOUTH OF JAMAICA. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL AFFECT
JAMAICA...PORTIONS OF CUBA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS TODAY AND
TOMORROW. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM. 

A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.  THIS SYSTEM IS GENERATING A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS...BUT ENVIRONMENTAL CONDICTIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.


$$ 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN