000
ABNT20 KNHC 191757
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT JUL 19 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
BERTHA...LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE
NEWFOUNDLAND...AND ON RECENTLY UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL...
LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES EAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.

A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS
PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS AND STRONG WINDS WITH GUSTS ABOVE TROPICAL
STORM FORCE.  AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY
INVESTIGATING THE SYSTEM TO DETERMINE IF IT HAS A CLOSED
CIRCULATION.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR THIS
SYSTEM TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO
AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.  REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL AFFECT JAMAICA...PORTIONS OF
CUBA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS TODAY AND TOMORROW.  INTERESTS IN THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT33 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT3. FORECAST/ADVISORIES
ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT23 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER
MIATCMAT3.

$$ 
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB