000
ABNT20 KNHC 161753
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE TROPICS ARE VERY BUSY FOR THE MIDDLE OF JULY.

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM BERTHA...LOCATED ABOUT 380 MILES NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND
ADJACENT GULF OF MEXICO WATERS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA.  SURFACE PRESSURES ARE RISING
AND DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND.  THIS
SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AS IT MOVES
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. 

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
REMAINS WELL-ORGANIZED AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THIS AREA TO DETERMINE IF A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS FORMED. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH...BRINGING
GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS TO THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TODAY
AND TOMORROW.  

A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT 300 MILES
EAST OF NICARAGUA IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.  THIS
SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT BEFORE MOVING INTO
CENTRAL AMERICA LATE TOMORROW.  HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE
LIKELY TO MOVE OVER PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS
TOMORROW...WITH FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
IN HIGHER TERRAIN.    

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$ 
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA