000
ABNT20 KNHC 010526
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN JUN 1 2008
 
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
 
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ARTHUR...CENTERED INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA
OF MEXICO.  PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON ARTHUR ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER
WTNT31 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT1.  FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON
ARTHUR ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER
MIATCMAT1.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

TODAY MARKS THE FIRST DAY OF THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON...WHICH 
WILL RUN UNTIL NOVEMBER 30.  LONG-TERM AVERAGES FOR THE NUMBER OF 
NAMED STORMS...HURRICANES...AND MAJOR HURRICANES ARE 11...6...AND
2...RESPECTIVELY.

THE LIST OF NAMES FOR 2008 IS AS FOLLOWS:

NAME           PRONUNCIATION    NAME            PRONUNCIATION
-------------------------------------------------------------
ARTHUR                          LAURA
BERTHA         BUR- THA         MARCO
CRISTOBAL                       NANA
DOLLY                           OMAR
EDOUARD        EH DWARD-        PALOMA          PA LOW- MA
FAY                             RENE            RE NAY-
GUSTAV                          SALLY
HANNA                           TEDDY
IKE                             VICKY
JOSEPHINE     JO- ZE FEEN       WILFRED
KYLE

THIS PRODUCT...THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...BRIEFLY DESCRIBES
SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND THEIR POTENTIAL FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  FOR 2008 THE
ISSUANCE TIMES OF THIS PRODUCT HAVE BEEN CHANGED...TO 2 AM...8
AM...2 PM...AND 8 PM EDT.  AFTER THE CHANGE TO STANDARD TIME ON
NOVEMBER 2...THE ISSUANCE TIMES WILL BE 1 AM...7 AM...1 PM...AND
7 PM EST.

A SEPARATE PRODUCT...THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT...
MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO DESCRIBE STRONG...FORMATIVE 
WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT HAVE NOT YET REACHED TROPICAL DEPRESSION 
STATUS.  THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT IS ISSUED UNDER 
THE WMO HEADER WONT41 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIADSAAT.

A STANDARD PACKAGE OF PRODUCTS...CONSISTING OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
PUBLIC ADVISORY...THE FORECAST/ADVISORY...THE CYCLONE DISCUSSION...
AND A WIND SPEED PROBABILITY PRODUCT...IS ISSUED EVERY SIX HOURS FOR
ALL ONGOING TROPICAL CYCLONES.  IN ADDITION...A SPECIAL ADVISORY
PACKAGE MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO ADVISE OF SIGNIFICANT
UNEXPECTED CHANGES OR TO MODIFY WATCHES OR WARNINGS.

AN ADDITIONAL PRODUCT...WITH WHICH USERS MAY BE LESS FAMILIAR...IS
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE.  THIS PRODUCT IS A BRIEF STATEMENT TO
INFORM OF SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE OR TO POST OR
CANCEL WATCHES OR WARNINGS.  IT IS USED IN LIEU OF OR TO PRECEDE
THE ISSUANCE OF A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE.  TROPICAL CYCLONE
UPDATES...WHICH CAN BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME...CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT61-65 KNHC...AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUAT1-5.

ALL NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TEXT AND GRAPHICAL PRODUCTS ARE
AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB/MAINELLI