000 ABNT20 KNHC 151527 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2007 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS EMERGED FROM THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND IS PRODUCING SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THAT EXTENDS NORTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD. THE WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM JUST EAST OF NICARAGUA OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAS BECOME VERY DISORGANIZED THIS MORNING. SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED AND THE CIRCULATION HAS BECOME VERY POORLY DEFINED. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM COULD STILL CAUSE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA TODAY AND TOMORROW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER KNABB