000 ABNT20 KNHC 150904 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2007 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THE LOW IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH...AND SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE WHEN IT MOVES OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES EAST OF NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH TODAY...AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT LIKELY DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND THE PROXIMITY TO LAND. HOWEVER THIS SYSTEM COULD CAUSE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER PASCH