000
ABNT20 KNHC 121511
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FIFTEEN LOCATED ABOUT 940 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA. 

A NEARLY STATIONARY AND LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. SINCE MOST OF THE
SYSTEM IS OVER LAND... TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...HEAVY RAINS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER THIS AREA FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS...PRIMARILY OVER PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF
CENTRAL AMERICA.

SHOWER ACTIVITY EXTENDING FROM JAMAICA...EASTERN CUBA...THE
BAHAMAS...AND INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH.  THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE
MERGING WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM AND TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT
EXPECTED.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL LOW CENTERED JUST
WEST OF THE CANARY ISLANDS HAS DIMINISHED.
       
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT35 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT5. 
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT25 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT5.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA