000
ABNT20 KNHC 120923
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FIFTEEN LOCATED ABOUT 925 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA. 

SHOWER ACTIVITY EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
ACROSS JAMAICA...CUBA...THE BAHAMAS...AND INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH.  WHILE
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORMING
ALONG THE TROUGH EAST OF THE BAHAMAS...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT
FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IN THIS AREA.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED A LITTLE THIS MORNING IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A NON-TROPICAL LOW CENTERED JUST WEST OF THE CANARY ISLANDS. 
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO
OCCUR AS IT MOVES EASTWARD.
       
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT35 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT5. 
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT25 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT5.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN