000
ABNT20 KNHC 072113
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT SUN OCT 7 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED BETWEEN
BELIZE...HONDURAS...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.  SURFACE PRESSURES
CONTINUE TO FALL IN THE AREA...BUT THERE IS NO WELL-DEFINED
CIRCULATION CENTER.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE
FAVORABLE AND SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE LOW REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY.  ANOTHER AIR
FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER MISSION IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA
ON MONDAY...IF NECESSARY.   

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH.  SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED DUE TO STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES EAST OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES
NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BLAKE