000
ABNT20 KNHC 071506
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SUN OCT 7 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED BETWEEN
BELIZE...HONDURAS...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.  WHILE SURFACE
PRESSURES ARE FALLING WITHIN THIS AREA...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
IS ELONGATED AND NOT YET WELL-DEFINED.  THEREFORE...THE AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE MISSION FOR TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELED.  UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE AND SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT REMAINS NEARLY
STATIONARY.  ANOTHER AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER MISSION IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA ON MONDAY.   

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES NORTH OF
PUERTO RICO IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.  THIS
SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES
NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER RHOME/BERG