000
ABNT20 KNHC 070921
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SUN OCT 7 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH AND
UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED ABOUT 225 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF
PUERTO RICO.  THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD.

SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED BETWEEN HONDURAS AND THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO SUPPORT FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE LOW REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT PARTICULARLY FAVORABLE
FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY
NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BLAKE