000
ABNT20 KNHC 070203
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SAT OCT 6 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH AND
UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF
PUERTO RICO.  THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD.

SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED BETWEEN HONDURAS AND THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO SUPPORT FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE LOW REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES HAS CHANGED LITTLE THIS EVENING.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT
FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AND THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  

CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED
ABOUT 625 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE AZORES HAS DIMINISHED
SOMEWHAT THIS EVENING.  DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED DUE TO THE
SYSTEM MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWARD OVER PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BLAKE