000
ABNT20 KNHC 062108
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT SAT OCT 6 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH AND
UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED ABOUT 150 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF
PUERTO RICO.  THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHWESTWARD.

SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED BETWEEN HONDURAS AND THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.  SURFACE PRESSURES ARE FALLING IN THE AREA...AND
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS AS IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON.  UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...AND THE
CHANCES FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARE
DIMINISHING.  THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  

A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE AZORES HAS ACQUIRED SOME SUBTROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS DURING THE DAY.  HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM IS MOVING
QUICKLY NORTHWARD OVER COOLER WATERS AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.  

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BLAKE