000
ABNT20 KNHC 061511
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SAT OCT 6 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH AND
UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS NOW CENTERED ABOUT 150 MILES NORTH OF PUERTO
RICO.  THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED.  HOWEVER...
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY FAVORABLE FOR SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHWESTWARD.

SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED BETWEEN HONDURAS AND THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.  GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT DRIFTS TO THE WEST OR SOUTHWEST.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED
ABOUT 700 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS MORNING.  WHILE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE
FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...THIS IS A CHANCE A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN