000
ABNT20 KNHC 060202
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT FRI OCT 5 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 150 MILES NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO...ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH AND
UPPER-LEVEL LOW...HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND FURTHER ORGANIZATION OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAS DECREASED THIS
EVENING.  HOWEVER...SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT DRIFTS TO THE WEST OR
SOUTHWEST.

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT
775 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BLAKE