000
ABNT20 KNHC 010921
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT MON OCT 1 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND A WEAK SURFACE LOW ARE PRODUCING SQUALLY
WEATHER OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT
WATERS...WITH A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND
SHOWERS EXTENDING EASTWARD ACROSS THE BAHAMAS FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES.  SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT...PERHAPS OF A SUBTROPICAL
NATURE...IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THIS SYSTEM
MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OR WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD.  

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THE REMNANTS OF
KAREN...EXTEND FROM THE LEEWARD ISLANDS EASTWARD FOR SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES.  THE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS IN THIS AREA COULD
WEAKEN A LITTLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT ANY
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT
MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED THIS MORNING WITH THE REMNANT LOW OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELISSA...LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES WEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR
RE-DEVELOPMENT...BUT THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.  

FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF KAREN AND MELISSA...PLEASE
SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER FRANKLIN